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Gold 2026: KGC and DPM, the only top-quality miners

2026-06-23 ·

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Kinross Gold (KGC) and DPM Precious Metals are the only two gold producers rated 10/10 in our screener among 5,000+ analyzed stocks. KGC trades at $26.30 vs target $28.52 (-7.8%). DPM trades at $44.45 vs target $46.31 (-4.0%). Both are below their targets, rare buy conditions for 10/10 stocks.

Gold mining: a difficult sector for our method

Most gold producers fail our screener: revenue growth tied to the gold price (exogenous), volatile FCF depending on gold price, low ROIC in low-price periods, high debt to finance mines. Barrick Gold, Newmont, and Agnico Eagle, the three global leaders, score below 8/10. Kinross and DPM are exceptions: two companies that have maintained high fundamental quality even in moderate gold price environments.

Kinross Gold (KGC) and DPM: comparative data

CriterionKinross Gold (KGC)DPM Precious Metals (DPM)
Lubin screener score10/1010/10
Current P/FCF12.55×13.06×
Current price$26.30$44.45
Lubin entry target$28.52$46.31
Price vs target-7.8% (below target)-4.0% (below target)
Market cap~$12B~$3.5B
Annual production (gold)~2.1 Moz~0.3 Moz
Key mining assetsTasiast (Mauritania), Round Mountain (Nevada)Chelopech (Bulgaria), Ada Tepe (Bulgaria)

Kinross Gold: the diversified mid-tier

Kinross Gold Corporation (NYSE/TSX: KGC) is a mid-tier gold producer with mines in Mauritania (Tasiast, its flagship), the US (Nevada), Brazil, and South Africa. Tasiast is one of the world's lowest-cost mines on an All-in Sustaining Cost (AISC) basis, giving exceptional profitability even at moderate gold prices. KGC produces 2.1M oz/year, making it a mid-tier with major-quality assets.

DPM Precious Metals: the little-known European gem

DPM Precious Metals Inc. (TSX: DPM) is a gold and copper producer listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange, less known to French investors. Its two main mines in Bulgaria (Chelopech, Ada Tepe) produce gold with copper by-products that improve margins. DPM is smaller than KGC (~$3.5B market cap) but displays similar quality metrics.

Buy signal: both are below our targets

Unusual situation: two 10/10 stocks are simultaneously below their targets. KGC at -7.8% below target, DPM at -4% below target. Since early 2026, gold stocks have slightly corrected after their strong 2024-2025 run driven by gold's surge. Gold remains supported by emerging central bank purchases, geopolitics, and de-dollarization. If gold stays above $2,000/oz, KGC and DPM should continue generating solid FCF.

FAQ

Why do only 2 gold miners score 10/10 out of 5,000 stocks?

Mining is structurally challenging for our method: FCF depends on gold price (exogenous variable), AISC varies by mine, and most majors have costly M&A strategies. KGC and DPM maintained high fundamental quality through exceptional assets and superior financial discipline.

Do gold mining stocks protect against inflation?

Partially. Miners amplify gold's movement, when gold rises 10%, profitable miners can rise 20-30% (operating leverage). But they don't offer the direct protection of physical gold, there's operational risk (mines, permits, politics) on top of price risk.

What about Barrick, Newmont and Agnico Eagle?

The three majors don't score 10/10 in our screener. Their size implies frequent M&A acquisitions (goodwill, dilution), geographic diversification with more lower-quality assets, and higher average AISC. Mid-tiers like KGC often have better quality-to-price ratios than majors.

How is gold's outlook for 2026-2027?

Gold has been supported by central bank diversification away from USD (especially China, India, Russia), ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, and strong retail demand in Asia. Analyst consensus targets $2,200-2,800/oz for 2026-2027. Both KGC and DPM have significant operating leverage to gold prices above $1,800/oz.

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About the author

Written by Lubin Danilo, founder of Lubin Investment. A self-taught individual investor, I find fundamental analysis fascinating, and it has delivered excellent results. For three years now, my performance has beaten the S&P 500. But analyzing every stock took too much time: sites with incomplete data, calculation methods and criteria never aligned with mine. And spotting the best stocks was just as time-consuming, even with my own well-defined checklist. So I put my software development background to work to build this software, base my investment strategy on its results, and share it with people who share the same passion as me. It judges a company's quality and its price separately, using criteria drawn from the financial literature (Warren Buffett, Michael Mauboussin, Aswath Damodaran).