Fundamental analysis 2451.HK (Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited)

Updated on 10/05/2026

Method and analysis by Lubin Danilo, founder of Lubin Investment. Score computed automatically, with no human opinion.

We analyzed Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) stock against the 10 quality criteria of Lubin Investment. The company gets a quality score of 6/10, meaning medium quality, and a P/FCF valuation multiple of 22.5×.

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) fails part of our quality criteria without the price making up for it. Neither quality nor valuation argues in its favour today, according to our 10 hard criteria.

Sector: Auto Manufacturers. Listing: HK. Current price: 14.29 HKD.

Lubin scoring methodology

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Limited (2451.HK)'s score is calculated automatically from 10 objective financial criteria, with no human intervention or opinion. Each criterion is validated (YES / PARTIAL / NO) based on thresholds drawn from the financial literature (Warren Buffett, Michael Mauboussin, Aswath Damodaran). The final score is the sum of validations.

The thresholds come from the financial literature, not from our preferences: see the valuation work of Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern) and the SEC investor education resources (investor.gov).

The 10 quantitative criteria analyzed

1. Profitable: net margin > 5%
2. Growing revenue: revenue growing > 10%/year over 5 years
3. Growing earnings per share: FCF per share adjusted for stock-based compensation, > 10%/year over 5 years
4. Share count under control: stable or declining (net buybacks = value creation for shareholders)
5. Growing revenue per employee: revenue and revenue per employee both grow ≥ 10%/year over 5 years; partial when only one growth driver reaches its tier (fallback: free cash flow margin > 10% when employee history is unavailable)
6. Expanding margins: operating margin widens over 5 years (operating leverage)
7. Return on invested capital: Cash ROCE > 15% per year
8. Debt under control: net debt repayable in less than 3 years of free cash flow
9. Earnings converted to cash: free cash flow exceeds accounting net income
10. Net collection period: short or negative cash conversion cycle

Its price against peers

Against the 5 other Auto Manufacturers stocks we have scored, Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) trades at 22.5× its free cash flow, versus a median of 15.9× for that basket. On price alone, Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) is therefore more expensive than its peers. That says nothing about its quality: at Lubin Investment, quality and price are judged separately, and a low multiple is only a bargain if the quality holds up.

Frequently asked questions

Is Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) a quality stock?

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) gets a quality score of 6/10 (medium quality), calculated over the 10 Lubin Investment criteria: profitability, revenue and free cash flow growth, share buybacks, margins, debt and return on capital.

How is Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s score calculated?

The score is the total of validated criteria (YES / PARTIAL / NO) using thresholds drawn from the financial literature (Warren Buffett, Mauboussin, Aswath Damodaran), automatically and with no human opinion.

What is Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s P/FCF?

The price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) multiple of Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) stock is 22.5×. At Lubin Investment, valuation is judged separately from quality.

Where to see Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s full analysis?

The full interactive analysis (10-criteria detail, history, P/FCF valuation, sector comparisons) is available at https://lubin-investment.com/analyse/2451.HK?lng=en.

Other stocks in the Auto Manufacturers sector

• Hero MotoCorp (HEROMOTOCO.NS), score 10/10, P/FCF 15.9×
• Ferrari (RACE.MI), score 9/10, P/FCF 45.1×
• Hong Leong Asia (H22.SI), score 9/10, P/FCF 5.0×
• Force Motors (FORCEMOT.NS), score 9/10, P/FCF 30.4×

Go further

👉 See the full interactive analysis of 2451.HK

Other resources : All stocks in the Auto Manufacturers sector.